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Updated On: 12-Sep-2025 09:07 AM
Ashok Leyland MD says GST cut will boost CV sales, trigger replacement demand, and help the industry surpass 2019 volumes. Bus production capacity is also set for major expansion
GST cut reduces CV prices by nearly 10%
Replacement demand to rise for 10+ year-old trucks
CV market may surpass 2019 peak volumes
Small operators, retail buyers to drive sales
Bus capacity expansion to 1,650 units by 2026
The commercial vehicle (CV) industry is set to witness a major revival after the government’s decision to reduce GST on commercial vehicles from 28% to 18%. According to Shenu Agarwal, Managing Director of Ashok Leyland, this move will act as a strong trigger for long-delayed replacement demand and could push the CV market beyond its 2019 peak volumes.
The reduction in GST is being seen as a direct price cut for buyers. The lower acquisition cost is expected to encourage small fleet operators, retail buyers, and transport companies to upgrade their ageing fleets. India currently has 11–12 lakh trucks over 10 years old, which makes this reform timely.
“Everybody looks at GST as a price cut, and rightly so. People who were hesitating will now come out and buy. In CVs too, especially in medium and heavy-duty trucks, this could unleash a replacement cycle we have not seen in years,” said Agarwal.
The average age of India’s truck fleet has now touched 10 years, compared to the usual 7–8 years. Despite BS6 emission norms and the scrappage policy, replacement momentum had been weak. Agarwal believes the GST reduction of nearly 10% of vehicle prices could finally trigger purchases, especially in medium and heavy-duty trucks.
This surge is expected to help the industry surpass its 2019 peak volumes this year. Demand from small operators is also likely to pick up, bringing much-needed liquidity and growth to the sector.
Agarwal highlighted that GST reform benefits go beyond just vehicle affordability. “GST is touching every consumer, every business, every sector. If it results in higher consumption, it will directly translate into more freight traffic, which is the CV industry's lifeblood,” he said.
More freight traffic means more utilization for existing vehicles and a stronger case for adding new ones. Banks and financiers are also positive as the reduced vehicle cost lowers financing risk.
The bus market is already witnessing strong demand from state transport undertakings and private operators. To meet this growing demand, Ashok Leyland is expanding its production capacity to 1,650 fully built buses per month by April 2026.
This move is aimed at addressing capacity constraints and supporting growth in the passenger transport segment, which is seeing a steady revival post-pandemic.
While Agarwal noted that truck purchases remain highly revenue-driven, he expressed confidence that the industry is entering a positive growth phase. Sectors like mining, infrastructure, and highway construction are driving higher freight movement, which directly benefits CV sales.
Clearer demand trends are expected to emerge by October–November, but the overall outlook for the commercial vehicle industry remains strong and optimistic.
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The GST cut from 28% to 18% has given a major boost to India’s CV industry. With lower vehicle costs, small operators and large fleets are likely to replace ageing trucks. Rising freight demand, supportive financing, and strong bus sales signal a robust year ahead, with volumes expected to surpass 2019 levels.