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Above-normal monsoon and lower input costs likely to push tractor sales up 4–7% in FY26, says ICRA.
Tractor sales grew 10.5% in June 2025 YoY; Q1 FY26 saw 9.3% growth.
Above-normal monsoon expected to boost farming and machinery demand.
Lower global steel prices are helping manufacturers maintain margins.
Rural demand remains strong with good farmer income and government support.
ICRA forecasts 4–7% tractor sales growth in FY26.
India’s tractor industry is likely to see steady growth of 4 to 7% in the financial year 2025–26, according to credit rating agency ICRA. The key factor behind this positive outlook is the forecast of above-normal monsoon, which is expected to support agricultural activities and boost demand for tractors.
Tractor sales in India have already shown promising signs. In June 2025, sales grew by 10.5% compared to the same month last year. The April–June quarter also recorded a 9.3% increase in overall tractor sales. These early numbers show strong confidence among farmers and improving field conditions.
A good monsoon has a direct impact on farming and farm-related investments. This year’s above-normal rainfall is expected to increase crop production in many parts of the country. With better yields and income, farmers are more likely to invest in tractors and other equipment.
According to ICRA, widespread and timely rainfall is driving a strong kharif crop season. As a result, many rain-fed regions are already witnessing early bookings of tractors. This is a clear sign that farmers are preparing for a productive season ahead.
Not just farmers, but tractor manufacturers are also seeing some relief. Global steel prices have come down, mainly due to lower demand in large economies like China. This reduction in raw material costs helps manufacturers maintain their profit margins without increasing tractor prices significantly.
Lower production costs allow companies to meet growing demand more efficiently and keep prices steady, which further supports sales growth.
Despite global economic uncertainties, India’s rural economy is showing resilience. Farmers are receiving stable incomes, and various government schemes are helping them invest in agricultural tools and machinery. Easy access to loans and consistent pre-season bookings reflect farmers’ willingness to purchase new tractors.
ICRA notes that while the overall growth may not be extremely high, it is steady and reliable enough to sustain the sector’s momentum.
Considering the favorable monsoon, lower input costs, and stable rural demand, the outlook for India’s tractor industry in FY26 is positive. Risks such as uneven rainfall or sudden changes in market demand exist, but the industry is well-prepared to handle them.
Farmers are confident, manufacturers are managing costs well, and the market is moving forward steadily. All these factors point to a healthy year ahead for tractor sales in India.
The Indian tractor industry is set for steady growth in FY26, supported by good monsoon rainfall, strong rural demand, and lower raw material costs. Farmers are confident, and manufacturers are well-positioned to meet rising demand. While some risks remain, the overall outlook is stable, with ICRA projecting 4–7% sales growth, making this a promising year for the sector.